Jon Tester, the Democratic Senator from Montana, is striving to retain his seat in a state that strongly supported Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election. Despite Montana’s conservative leaning, Tester has managed to secure victories in several tough elections over the past decade, maintaining his popularity with the state’s right-leaning voters.
This November, Tester faces potentially one of the toughest re-election battles of his career. To win a fourth term, he must significantly outperform President Joe Biden, who tops the Democratic ticket. His main opponent is Republican Tim Sheehy, a businessman and retired Navy SEAL. Current polling suggests a tight race.
The latest poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Montana Republican Party, reveals a deadlock between Tester and Sheehy, each receiving 46 percent support among 500 likely voters surveyed between June 11 and 13. Interestingly, Tester is polling 20 points better than Biden in Montana, where 57 percent of respondents favor Trump compared to 37 percent for Biden. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.38 percentage points.